Marine Oil Market, Forecast, Trend, Analysis & Competition Tracking - Global Market Insights 2020 to 2030

Published on : Dec-2020 | List of Tables : 72 | List of Figures : 102 | No. of Pages : 170 | Report Code : FACT5377MR |

Marine Oil Market: About the Report

Demand for marine oil is generally higher than its supply, and therefore, producers have started to implement strategies to reduce volatility. These initiatives include increasing the usage of algae for production to reduce dependence on wild catch fish, as well as focus on aquaculture. Fact.MR’s report explains in detail that while EMEA and South Asia & Pacific have a strong foothold in the global marine oil market, East Asia is the region where the most lucrative opportunities will be offered for stakeholders. Across the world, refined marine oil is finding more takers, thereby aiding market expansion.

Marine Oil Market Overview

The marine oil market has seen significant volatility in the recent past, owing to multiple factors such as the El-Nino impact as well as fishing quota. The years 2016 and 2017 had a devastating impact on the global marine oil market; however, in the following year, a notable improvement was witnessed. Amid these developments, the global marine oil market is expected to witness an absolute dollar opportunity of US$ 811 Mn from 2020 and 2030.     

Marine Oil Market Drivers

Currently, there has been significant rise in aquaculture activities across the globe, thereby increasing demand for marine oil. Use of marine oil at the industrial level is pacing up, as end-use companies are utilizing this oil on different fronts, such as for pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, pet food, and several other uses. Growing demand for healthy food products such as marine oil as a cooking oil, and also as a topping oil for many dishes, since it is one of the best source of long chain fatty acids, will be one of the factors that is fuelling the expansion of the global marine oil market size.

Regional Outlook of Marine Oil Market

The marine oil market has a strong foothold in EMEA and South Asia & Pacific, contributing more than half to the global marine oil market share. These regions have both, backward and forward integration in the marine oil market space, which makes them key regions on a global level. Other regions such as East Asia and North America also have a sizeable market share. These regions witness considerably high consumption of marine oil since they have potential end-use sectors when compared to other regions such as Latin America. Latin America is not a large producer of marine oil; end-use industries in the region are not much established, which results in a slightly low growth rate. The marine oil market in East Asia is expected to deliver the highest growth rate of more than 4% over the forecast period.

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Marine Oil Market: Competitive Analysis

The global marine oil market is moderately competitive in nature, where, tier-1 players make more than half of the global revenue. Companies operating at the global level, such as China Fishery Group and Nissui Group, have considerably high marine oil market shares. Regional companies also have a strong foothold in their respective regions. Due to high entry barriers and considerably low success ratio in the marine oil market, companies are generally wary before investing in this space. However, algae oil, which is in an introductory phase, has attracted the attention of several producers who are scaling up their production.

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The Analyst’s Viewpoint

“Companies operating in the marine oil market can optimize their production to reduce costs through backward integration, to make up for the volatility in prices. Raw material procurement, which is still inconsistent, gives rise to a huge demand-supply gap at the global level. Procurement sources for extracting marine oil should be categorized in an organised manner, since climatic events and government regulations can make procurement strenuous.”

COVID-19 Impact on Marine Oil Market

The COVID-19 crisis has had a negative impact on the demand for marine oil in the first quarter of 2020. Lockdowns implemented across various countries in first and second quarters of 2020 have caused significant reduction in demand for marine oil, globally. Additionally, production of marine oil was also affected due to restricted supply of raw materials. However, the marine oil market is expected to gradually come into shape when effects of the pandemic are lessened.

Marine Oil Market – Report Scope

A recent study by Fact.MR on the marine oil market offers 10-year forecast from 2020 to 2030. The study analyzes crucial trends that are currently determining the growth of the marine oil market. This report explicates on vital dynamics, such as the drivers, restraints, and opportunities for key market players along with key stakeholders as well as emerging players associated with the manufacturing of marine oil. The study also provides the dynamics that are expected to influence the future status of the marine oil market over the forecast period.

A detailed assessment of value chain analysis, business executions, and supply chain analysis across regional markets has been covered in the report. A list of prominent companies operating in the marine oil market enhances the reliability of this comprehensive research study.

Marine Oil Market: Report Summary

The study offers comprehensive analysis on diverse features, including demand, product developments, policy & regulatory landscape, revenue generation, and sales in the marine oil market across the globe.

A comprehensive price point comparison by region with global average price is also considered in the study.

Marine Oil Market: Segmentation

Fact.MR has studied the marine oil market with detailed segmentation on the basis of type, processing, end use, and region.

Type

  • Fish Oil
  • Algae Oil
  • Blended Fish Oil
Processing
  • Crude
  • Refined
End Use
  • Aqua Feed
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Others

Region

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • EMEA
  • South Asia and Pacific
  • East Asia

Marine Oil Market: Analysis on Market Size Evaluation

The study provides each market segment in terms of value (US$ Mn) analysis in the marine oil market.

Market estimates at global and regional levels for marine oil are available in terms of “US$ Mn” for value and “’000 MT” in terms of volume. A Y-o-Y growth contrast on prominent marine oil market segments, along with the market attractiveness evaluation have been incorporated in the report. Another key feature of the marine oil market report is the analysis of all key segments in terms of absolute dollar. Absolute dollar opportunity is critical in assessing the level of opportunity that a manufacturer can look to achieve as well as identify potential resources, from the sales and delivery perspectives in the marine oil market.

Marine Oil Market: Inspected Assessment on Regional Segments

Key sections have been elaborated in the report, which help deliver projections on regional markets. This chapter includes regional macros (political economic and business environment outlook), which are expected to have a momentous influence on the growth of the marine oil market during the forecast period.

Country-specific valuations on demand for marine oil have been offered for each regional market, along with market scope estimates and forecasts, price index, and impact analysis of prominence in regions and countries. Regional market Y-o-Y growth estimates have also incorporated in the report.

Detail breakup in terms of value for emerging countries has also been included in the report.

Marine Oil Market: In-depth Analysis on Competitive Landscape    

The report sheds light on leading manufacturers in the marine oil market, along with their detailed profiles. Essential and up-to-date data related to market players who are principally engaged in the production of marine oil has been brought with the help of a detailed dashboard view. Market share analysis and comparison of prominent players provided in the report permit report readers to take preemptive steps in advancing their businesses.

Company profiles have been combined in the marine oil market report, which include essentials such as product portfolios, along with an all-inclusive SWOT analysis on each player. Company presence is mapped and presented through a matrix for all prominent players, thus providing readers with actionable insights, which help in thoughtfully presenting the market status, and predicting the competition level in the marine oil market. Prominent companies operating in the global marine oil market include China Fishery Group, Austral Group, Clover Corp, Arbee, Mukka Sea Foods Industries Limited., GC Rieber, Cellana Inc., Pesquera Diamante, Pesquera Hayduk, TASA, Solutex, Pharma Marine, Triple Nine, Evonik Industries, Olvea Group, and Nissui Group.

1. Executive Summary

    1.1. Key Findings

        1.1.1. Overall Marine Oil Market

        1.1.2. Segment Overview

        1.1.3. Regional Overview

        1.1.4. Competitor’s Focus

    1.2. Summary of Statistics

    1.3. Market Characteristics and Attributes

2. Market Overview

    2.1. Introduction and Definition

    2.2. Research Scope

3. Covid-19 Impact Assessment

    3.1. Demand Erosion Assessment for Marine Oil Market

    3.2. Marine Oil Market Shrink and Recovery Trend Assessment, by Region

4.  Market Background

    4.1. Demand Supply Gap Analysis

        4.1.1. Does there exist a Demand-Supply Gap in Global Marine Oil Market?

        4.1.2. What are Industry Stakeholders’ Initiatives to Breach this Gap?

    4.2. Marine Oil Market Ecosystem

        4.2.1. Marine Oil Market Production Clusters

        4.2.2. Marine Oil Market Import Clusters

        4.2.3. Marine Oil Market Export Clusters

    4.3. Manufacturing Process Of Marine Oil

        4.3.1. Fish Oil Production Process

        4.3.2. Algae Oil Production Process

    4.4. Cost Structure Analysis

        4.4.1. Cost Breakdown of Marine Oil

            4.4.1.1. Raw Material

            4.4.1.2. Processing

            4.4.1.3. R&D

            4.4.1.4. Producer Profit

    4.5. Value Chain Analysis

        4.5.1. List of Suppliers

        4.5.2. List of Manufacturers

        4.5.3. List of End Users

        4.5.4. Profit Margin

    4.6. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

        4.6.1. Bargaining Power of Buyers

        4.6.2. Bargaining Power of Suppliers

        4.6.3. Threat of Substitute Products

        4.6.4. Threat of New Entrants

        4.6.5. Intensity of Rivalry

    4.7. PESTEL Analysis

    4.8. Forecast Factors

        4.8.1. Government regulations

        4.8.2. Plant based substitutes for Fish oil

        4.8.3. Expanding industrial uses of marine oil.

        4.8.4. Emergence of sustainable aquaculture activities

        4.8.5. Surging aqua feed demand

        4.8.6. Climatic hindrances

        4.8.7. Highly volatile Supply

        4.8.8. Role of organizations

        4.8.9. Technological advancements in the marine oil

        4.8.10. Growing utility of Marine oil in various daily uses.

    4.9. Investment Feasibility Assessment

        4.9.1. Investment Feasibility for Marine Oil Market Mapped on Product Life Cycle

        4.9.2. Analysis of the regions which have high production and high consumption

        4.9.3. Analysis of the regions which have high production and low consumption

        4.9.4. Analysis of the regions which have low production and moderate to high consumptions

    4.10. Market Dynamics

        4.10.1.    Market Drivers

            4.10.1.1. Mounting Demand for Marine Oil in End Use Sectors

            4.10.1.2. Consumer Inclination Shifting from Plant-based GM Oil to Algal Oil

            4.10.1.3. Rapid Growth in Aquaculture Activities

            4.10.1.4. Industry Associations Aiding Market Development

        4.10.2. Market Restraints

            4.10.2.1. Wildlife Conservation Policies Impacting Raw Material Supply

            4.10.2.2. Differences in Opinion Regarding Advantages of Omega 3

            4.10.2.3. Low Fishing Quota Coupled with Covid-19 to Impact Marine Oil Prices Globally

        4.10.3. Opportunity Windows

            4.10.3.1. Inclination in Demand for Cosmetic Products Based on Marine Oil

            4.10.3.2. Enhancement in Omega 3 Series to Introduce New Varieties of Ingredients Based on Marine Oils

            4.10.3.3. Increasing Utility of Plant-based Marine Oil in Fish Feeding

        4.10.4. Key Trends

            4.10.4.1. Growing Focus on Algal Marine Oils

            4.10.4.2. Increasing Consumer Concern for Pure Omega 3

            4.10.4.3. Technological Enhancement in Wild Fisheries

    4.11. Trade Analysis

        4.11.1. Global Import and Export Analysis

        4.11.2. Price Variation Analysis

        4.11.3. Climatic Hindrances

5. Pricing Analysis

    5.1. Price Point Assessment – Weighted Average Pricing (2020), by Region

    5.2. Price Point Assessment – Price Benchmark by Region

    5.3. Price Point Assessment – Price Benchmark Processing

6. Global Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030)

    6.1.    Market Overview

    6.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

        6.2.1. Global Marine Oil Market Volume (‘000 MT)

        6.2.2. Global Marine Oil Market Value (US$ Mn)

        6.2.3. Global Marine Oil Cumulative Historical Market and Absolute $ Opportunity

    6.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    6.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

7. Global Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), by Region

    7.1. Marine Oil Market Key Findings, by Region

    7.2. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

    7.3. Market Share and BPS Analysis

    7.4. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

    7.5. Market Attractiveness Analysis

    7.6. Global Marine Oil Market Regional Market Share Comparison, by Region

8. Global Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), by Processing

    8.1. Marine Oil Market Key Findings, by Processing

    8.2. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

    8.3. Market Share and BPS Analysis

    8.4. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

    8.5. Market Attractiveness Analysis

    8.6. Global Marine Oil Market Regional Market Share Comparison, by Processing.

9. Global Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), by Type

    9.1. Marine Oil Market Key Findings, by Type

    9.2. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

    9.3. Market Share and BPS Analysis

    9.4. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

    9.5. Market Attractiveness Analysis

    9.6. Global Marine Oil Market Regional Market Share Comparison, by Type.

10. Global Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), by End Use

    10.1. Marine Oil Market Key Findings, by End Use

    10.2. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

    10.3. Market Share and BPS Analysis

    10.4. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

    10.5. Market Attractiveness Analysis

    10.6. Global Marine Oil Market Regional Market Share Comparison, by End Use.

11. North America Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030)

    11.1. Market Overview

    11.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

    11.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    11.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

    11.5. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

        11.5.1. By country

            11.5.1.1.  US

            11.5.1.2. Canada

        11.5.2. By processing

        11.5.3. By Type

        11.5.4. By End Use

    11.6. Market Share and BPS Analysis

        11.6.1. By country

            11.6.1.1.  US

            11.6.1.2. Canada

        11.6.2. By processing

        11.6.3. By Type

        11.6.4. By End Use

    11.7. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

        11.7.1. By country

            11.7.1.1.  US

            11.7.1.2. Canada

        11.7.2. By processing

        11.7.3. By Type

        11.7.4. By End Use

    11.8. Market Attractiveness Analysis

        11.8.1. By country

            11.8.1.1.  US

            11.8.1.2. Canada

        11.8.2. By processing

        11.8.3. By Type

        11.8.4. By End Use

12. EMEA  Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030)

    12.1. Market Overview

    12.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

    12.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    12.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

    12.5. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

        12.5.1. By country

            12.5.1.1. Norway

            12.5.1.2.  Denmark

            12.5.1.3. Greece

            12.5.1.4. Turkey

            12.5.1.5. Rest Of EMEA

        12.5.2. By processing

        12.5.3. By Type

        12.5.4. By End Use

    12.6. Market Share and BPS Analysis

        12.6.1. By country

            12.6.1.1. Norway

            12.6.1.2.  Denmark

            12.6.1.3. Greece

            12.6.1.4. Turkey

            12.6.1.5. Rest Of EMEA

        12.6.2. By processing

        12.6.3. By Type

        12.6.4. By End Use

    12.7. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

        12.7.1. By country

            12.7.1.1. Norway

            12.7.1.2.  Denmark

            12.7.1.3. Greece

            12.7.1.4. Turkey

            12.7.1.5. Rest Of EMEA

        12.7.2. By processing

        12.7.3. By Type

        12.7.4. By End Use

    12.8. Market Attractiveness Analysis

        12.8.1. By country

            12.8.1.1. Norway

            12.8.1.2.  Denmark

            12.8.1.3. Greece

            12.8.1.4. Turkey

            12.8.1.5. Rest Of EMEA

        12.8.2. By processing

        12.8.3. By Type

        12.8.4. By End Use

13. Latin America Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030)

    13.1. Market Overview

    13.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

    13.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    13.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

    13.5. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

        13.5.1. By country

            13.5.1.1.  Chile

            13.5.1.2. Peru

            13.5.1.3. Rest Of Latin America

        13.5.2. By processing

        13.5.3. By Type

        13.5.4. By End Use

    13.6. Market Share and BPS Analysis

        13.6.1. By country

            13.6.1.1.  Chile

            13.6.1.2. Peru

            13.6.1.3. Rest Of Latin America

        13.6.2. By processing

        13.6.3. By Type

        13.6.4. By End Use

    13.7. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

        13.7.1. By country

            13.7.1.1.  Chile

            13.7.1.2. Peru

            13.7.1.3. Rest Of Latin America

        13.7.2. By processing

        13.7.3. By Type

        13.7.4. By End Use

    13.8. Market Attractiveness Analysis

        13.8.1. By country

            13.8.1.1.  Chile

            13.8.1.2. Peru

            13.8.1.3. Rest Of Latin America

        13.8.2. By processing

        13.8.3. By Type

        13.8.4. By End Use

14. South Asia and Pacific Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), Introduction

    14.1. Market Overview

    14.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

    14.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    14.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

    14.5. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

        14.5.1. By country

            14.5.1.1.  Vietnam

            14.5.1.2. Australia

            14.5.1.3. Rest of South Asia and Pacific

        14.5.2. By processing

        14.5.3. By Type

        14.5.4. By End Use

    14.6. Market Share and BPS Analysis

        14.6.1. By country

            14.6.1.1.  Vietnam

            14.6.1.2. Australia

            14.6.1.3. Rest of South Asia and Pacific

        14.6.2. By processing

        14.6.3. By Type

        14.6.4. By End Use

    14.7. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

        14.7.1. By country

            14.7.1.1.  Vietnam

            14.7.1.2. Australia

            14.7.1.3. Rest of South Asia and Pacific

        14.7.2. By processing

        14.7.3. By Type

        14.7.4. By End Use

    14.8. Market Attractiveness Analysis

        14.8.1. By country

            14.8.1.1.  Vietnam

            14.8.1.2. Australia

            14.8.1.3. Rest of South Asia and Pacific

        14.8.2. By processing

        14.8.3. By Type

        14.8.4. By End Use

15. East Asia Marine Oil Market Analysis (2015 - 2019) and Forecast (2020 – 2030), Introduction

    15.1. Market Overview

    15.2. Introduction to Market Statistics

    15.3. Y-o-Y Growth and Incremental Opportunity

    15.4. Absolute Dollar Historical Market and Absolute Dollar Opportunity

    15.5. Absolute $ Opportunity (2020 – 2030)

        15.5.1. By country

            15.5.1.1.  China

            15.5.1.2. Japan

            15.5.1.3. South Korea

        15.5.2. By processing

        15.5.3. By Type

        15.5.4. By End Use

    15.6. Market Share and BPS Analysis

        15.6.1. By country

            15.6.1.1.  China

            15.6.1.2. Japan

            15.6.1.3. South Korea

        15.6.2. By processing

        15.6.3. By Type

        15.6.4. By End Use

    15.7. Y-o-Y Growth Projections

        15.7.1. By country

            15.7.1.1.  China

            15.7.1.2. Japan

            15.7.1.3. South Korea

        15.7.2. By processing

        15.7.3. By Type

        15.7.4. By End Use

    15.8. Market Attractiveness Analysis

        15.8.1. By country

            15.8.1.1.  China

            15.8.1.2. Japan

            15.8.1.3. South Korea

        15.8.2. By processing

        15.8.3. By Type

        15.8.4. By End Use

16. Competition Landscape

    16.1. Global Marine Oil Market Competition Dashboard

    16.2. Global Marine Oil Market Tier Structure

    16.3. Global Marine Oil Market Share Analysis

    16.4.  Key Players Market Presence, by Region (Geographical Footprint)

17. Competition Analysis

    17.1. China Fishery Group Limited

        17.1.1. Company Overview

        17.1.2. Regional Presence

        17.1.3. Product Portfolio

        17.1.4. Key Strategies

        17.1.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.1.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.2. Clover Corporation LTD.

        17.2.1. Company Overview

        17.2.2. Regional Presence

        17.2.3. Product Portfolio

        17.2.4. Key Strategies

        17.2.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.2.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.3. Mukka Sea Foods Industries LTD.

        17.3.1. Company Overview

        17.3.2. Regional Presence

        17.3.3. Product Portfolio

        17.3.4. Key Strategies

        17.3.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.3.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.4. GC Rieber

        17.4.1. Company Overview

        17.4.2. Regional Presence

        17.4.3. Product Portfolio

        17.4.4. Key Strategies

        17.4.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.4.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.5. Arbee

        17.5.1. Company Overview

        17.5.2. Regional Presence

        17.5.3. Product Portfolio

        17.5.4. Key Strategies

        17.5.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.5.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.6. Austral Group

        17.6.1. Company Overview

        17.6.2. Regional Presence

        17.6.3. Product Portfolio

        17.6.4. Key Strategies

        17.6.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.6.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.7. Cellana Inc.

        17.7.1. Company Overview

        17.7.2. Regional Presence

        17.7.3. Product Portfolio

        17.7.4. Key Strategies

        17.7.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.7.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.8. Pesquera Diamante

        17.8.1. Company Overview

        17.8.2. Regional Presence

        17.8.3. Product Portfolio

        17.8.4. Key Strategies

        17.8.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.8.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.9. Pesquera Hayduk

        17.9.1. Company Overview

        17.9.2. Regional Presence

        17.9.3. Product Portfolio

        17.9.4. Key Strategies

        17.9.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.9.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.10. TASA

        17.10.1. Company Overview

        17.10.2. Regional Presence

        17.10.3. Product Portfolio

        17.10.4. Key Strategies

        17.10.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.10.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.11. Solutex

        17.11.1. Company Overview

        17.11.2. Regional Presence

        17.11.3. Product Portfolio

        17.11.4. Key Strategies

        17.11.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.11.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.12. Evonik Industries

        17.12.1. Company Overview

        17.12.2. Regional Presence

        17.12.3. Product Portfolio

        17.12.4. Key Strategies

        17.12.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.12.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.13. Pharma Marine

        17.13.1. Company Overview

        17.13.2. Regional Presence

        17.13.3. Product Portfolio

        17.13.4. Key Strategies

        17.13.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.13.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.14. TripleNine

        17.14.1. Company Overview

        17.14.2. Regional Presence

        17.14.3. Product Portfolio

        17.14.4. Key Strategies

        17.14.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.14.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.15. Olvea Group

        17.15.1. Company Overview

        17.15.2. Regional Presence

        17.15.3. Product Portfolio

        17.15.4. Key Strategies

        17.15.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.15.6. SWOT Analysis

    17.16. Nissui Group

        17.16.1. Company Overview

        17.16.2. Regional Presence

        17.16.3. Product Portfolio

        17.16.4. Key Strategies

        17.16.5. Notable Company Developments

        17.16.6. SWOT Analysis

18. Appendix

19. Definitions of Analytical Frameworks

20. Sources and References

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Marine Oil Market, Forecast, Trend, Analysis & Competition Tracking - Global Market Insights 2020 to 2030